Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 3.310481 3.567533 3.846018 4.172142 4.546203 4.965060 5.474191
2026-02-01 2.831416 3.157311 3.531550 3.999499 4.578488 5.284955 6.234947
2026-02-08 2.517546 2.861289 3.269301 3.799625 4.487235 5.374438 6.653949
2026-02-15 2.348602 2.712451 3.156695 3.754059 4.562117 5.661007 7.359500
2026-02-22 2.196033 2.567005 3.029764 3.668649 4.562585 5.832172 7.915647
2026-03-01 2.049353 2.416768 2.882395 3.538078 4.479588 5.863209 8.247926
2026-03-08 1.910377 2.267262 2.724765 3.378445 4.335411 5.778877 8.364615
2026-03-15 1.844395 2.208178 2.681981 3.372867 4.412521 6.041315 9.133529
2026-03-22 1.781022 2.148444 2.633621 3.353878 4.464794 6.266961 9.883822
2026-03-29 1.721115 2.089919 2.582858 3.326404 4.499141 6.464050 10.624269
2026-04-05 1.710405 2.096857 2.622589 3.434535 4.759022 7.092243 12.482334
2026-04-12 1.676446 2.069773 2.611932 3.464285 4.891223 7.507023 14.009128
2026-04-19 1.735717 2.181175 2.815953 3.861030 5.736454 9.582977 21.607783
2026-04-26 1.639572 2.067545 2.681454 3.701674 5.559235 9.463913 22.366286
2026-05-03 1.547320 1.955429 2.543255 3.525854 5.331329 9.186532 22.399485
2026-05-10 1.495879 1.900208 2.488356 3.485475 5.358958 9.518656 25.198675
2026-05-17 1.439940 1.835943 2.416089 3.409792 5.307796 9.647895 27.303246
2026-05-24 1.378348 1.761069 2.323999 3.293828 5.163675 9.512969 28.039861
2026-05-31 1.314256 1.680510 2.220043 3.151626 4.954214 9.174861 27.484821
2026-06-07 1.285566 1.651454 2.195281 3.146648 5.027350 9.610213 31.924218
2026-06-14 1.255992 1.619930 2.165065 3.129698 5.073185 9.984292 36.779739
2026-06-21 1.226519 1.587501 2.131922 3.105164 5.099857 10.312357 42.180838
2026-06-28 1.224080 1.595708 2.164057 3.201645 5.406008 11.602650 61.944296